100 million people here, 100 million people there

Pretty soon, you're talking about real money.

The Population Reference Bureau, which in 2012 projected that the world population in 2050 would be 9.624 billion people, foresaw in 2013 a 2050 population of 9.727 billion, resulting from a slight rise in the global total fertility rate. There is little sign of consumption abating, with purchasing power increasing on average globally (but with great geographic differences).

Collapse: What’s Happening to our Chances? | MAHB
Apocalípico I by Mauricio García Vega. Collapse: What’s Happening to Our Chances? Paul R. Ehrlich and Anne H. Ehrlich. It’s been a little over a year since we tried to assess the probability that today’s perfect storm of environmental problems will lead to a collapse of civilization.


  1. bill camp
    bill camp says:

    i'd go with one percent.

  2. John Poteet
    John Poteet says:

    When things go bad people die quickly and not due to the reason we expect. In Russia a quarter of men are dying before age 55 due to alcohol and stress. This is at the same time birth rates are dropping.

    Projections of ever rising populations don't take into account the fact that population growth isn't just a function of resources available but efficient distribution of those resources.

    Nobody has to starve to death. If people are hungry or stressed too often other things kill them: infection, cancer, heart disease, diabetes.



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